Hike in DA from July 2013 to be decided in Cabinet Meeting on 20th September.

Centre set to hike DA of govt. employees by 10%

   Ahead of the festive season, the UPA government is set to hike the dearness allowance (DA) of its employees by 10%, a move that will benefit almost 8 million people by boosting their purchasing power.

   The Union cabinet will consider a proposal on the raising the allowance, which is a proportion of basic pay, at its meeting on Friday.

   In what can be seen as major sop for a large section of aam aadmi, this will be the second DA hike in a financial year. More importantly, also ahead of the 2014 general elections.

   The Centre’s decision will not only directly benefit 5 million employees and 3 million pensioners, but also help infuse more money into the economy.

Centre to hike D.A. this month

   Ahead of the festive season, the Central government will this month announce a hike in dearness allowance (DA) to 90% from the existing 80%, benefiting nearly 50 lakh central employees and 30 lakh pensioners, according to official sources.

   According to officials privy to the developments, the DA hike will be 10% and effective from July 1, this year. The sources further said the exact amount of DA, as a proportion of basic pay, works out to over 90% after factoring in the revised All-India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) for June.
 
   According to revised data released on August 30, retail inflation for factory workers for June stood at 11.63%, higher than the provisional estimate of 11.06% for the month released on July 31.
 
   Sources said since the revised estimate for the month of June was available, the finance ministry would soon prepare a proposal for the purpose for seeking Union Cabinet nod.

Dearness Allowance 90% from July 2013:Central Govt. likely to announce soon.

   Ahead of festival season, Central Government will this month announce a hike in dearness allowance to 90 percent from existing 80 percent, benefiting about 50 lakh central employees and 30 lakh pensioners.

   According to official source, dearness allowance hike will be 10 percent and would be effective from July 1, this year.

   The sources further said the exact amount of dearness allowance, as a proportion of basic pay, works out to over 90 percent after factoring in the revised all India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) for June.

   According to revised data released on August 30, retail inflation for factory workers for June stood at 11.63 percent, higher than provisional estimate of 11.06 percent for the month released on July 31.

   Sources said that since the revised estimate for the month of June is available, the Finance Ministry would soon prepare a proposal for the purpose for seeking Union Cabinet nod.

Expected Dearness allowance from July 2013.

   It is now confirmed that the rate of Dearness Allowance from July 2013 will be increased by 10% according to the AICPIN average for the past twelve months starting from July 2012 to June 2013.The Consumer Price Index Number for the month of June 2013 is released on 31st July 2013 by Labour Bureau, Ministry of Labour and Employment  in its Official site.

   All the central government employees will not be interested to know about the CPI numbers if it has no role in the calculation to obtain the rate of dearness allowance paid to central government employees. Since the dearness allowance is paid to central government employees to compensate the price rise, the AICPI numbers is the only factor to measure the increase in the prices of essential commodities. So the AICPIN for Industrial Workers is obviously inevitable part of the formula prescribed for calculating the rate of dearness allowance to be paid to central government employees.

   It is not only for central government employees, but all the state government employees have also been paid the same rate of dearness allowance. Once it is declared by the central government, all the state governments have no other go than to fallow it. That is why the AICPIN for Industrial workers has been watched keenly by all the central Government Employees and state government employees every month.

Expected DA from July-2013, AICPIN for the month of JUNE 2013.

   Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) June 2013

   According to a press release issued today by the Labour Bureau, Ministry of Labour & Employment the All-India CPI-IW for June, 2013 rose by 3 points and pegged at 231 (two hundred and thirty one). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by 1.32 per cent between May and June compared with 0.97 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

   The largest upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing 2.98 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Fish Fresh, Eggs (Hen), Poultry (Chicken), Milk, Onion, Ginger, Chillies Green, Potato, Tomato & other Vegetables, Tea Leaf, Tea (Readymade), Bidi, Cigarette, Electricity Charges, Doctor’s fee, Medicine (Allopathic), Petrol, etc. are responsible for the rise in index. However, this was compensated by Wheat, Groundnut Oil and Mustard Oil putting downward pressure on the index.

Expected DA from July-2013, AICPIN for the month of MAY 2013.

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW)-May, 2013

   The All-India CPI-IW for May, 2013 rose by 2 points and pegged at 228 (two hundred and twenty eight). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by 0.88 per cent between April and May compared with 0.49 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

   The largest upward contribution to the change in current index came from Food group which increased by 1.22 per cent, contributing 1.64 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Arhar Dal, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), Milk, Chillies Green, Garlic, Ginger, Tomato, Root & Green Vegetables, Tea Leaf, Tea (Readymade), Cigarette, Country Liquor, Electricity Charges, Medicine (Allopathic), Repair Charges, etc. are responsible for the rise in index. However, this was compensated by Petrol putting downward pressure on the index.

   The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 10.68 per cent for May, 2013 as compared to 10.24 per cent for the previous month and 10.16 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 13.24 per cent against 12.39 per cent of the previous month and 10.61 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

Expected DA (Dearness Allowance) from July 2013 to central government employees.

   Since the implementation of 6CPC from 1-1-2006, the consumer price index number for industrial worker is not coming down ever but it is increasing month by month. Similarly the rate of dearness allowance paid to central government employees also increasing at the interval of every six months period. The rate of dearness allowance was at zero level on 01-01-2006. After six years from implementation of 6CPC, now the dearness allowance stands at 80% level. The average increase in the dearness allowance is at the rate of 13% per year. Actually there is nothing to rejoice over the increase of dearness allowance.

   The Dearness allowance is nothing but the reflection of consumer price index. Likewise the consumer price index is determined by increase in the prices of basket of identified essential commodities. The increase of CPI number is not good any way for either the government employees or common people. Whatever the money the central government employees are supposed to get from the dearness allowance hike will be swallowed by the essential commodities for which they have to spend every month, since the prices of all the essential commodities are increasing at the alarming rate.

   Now everyone eyes at the expected dearness allowance from July 2013. It is now 80 percent of AICPI Numbers from which the rate of DA has to be arrived has been released. The AICIN for Industrial Workers for two more months are yet to be released to confirm the exact rate of Dearness Allowance going to be approved by the central government. The average of AICPIN for IW from the month of July 2012 to June 2013 will determine the rate of dearness allowance to be paid from July 2013. So look at the Consumer price Index numbers from June 2012 given below.

MONTH	AICPIN
Jul-2012	212
Aug-2012	214
Sep-2012	215
Oct-2012	217
Nov-2012	218
Dec-2012	219
Jan-2013	221
Feb-2013	223
Mar-2013	224
Apr-2013	226
May-2013	-
Jun-2013	-

   The formula for calculating dearness allowance is:
( Avg. of AICPI for the past 12 months – 115.76)*100/115.76

   To find out the average CPI for 12 months we need remaining two months CPI numbers. Let us assume that if the remaining two months AICPI numbers stands at 226 levels, the average AICPI for 12 months is 220.0833.

   If we apply this in the formula given above the answer is = 90.120

   From this it is now very much clear that, even though if there is no change in the position of AICPI numbers for remaining two months, if it happened to continue in the same level of 226 points for remaining two months, the increase in the rate of dearness allowance will be 10% for the next six months starts from July 2013. According to this, the expected dearness allowance from July 2013 for central government employees will not be less than 90% level. So it is expected that the dearness allowance will be increased from existing 80% to 90% level from July 2013. With this 10% increase in dearness allowance, the annual increment for the year 2013 also will be granted for all the central government employees from July 2013.

Source:http://www.gservants.com/2013/06/02/expected-da-dearness-allowance-from-july-2013-to-central-government-employees/

Expected DA from July-2013, AICPIN for the month of April 2013.

Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) April 2013

                According to a press release issued today by the Labour Bureau, Ministry of Labour & Employment the All-India CPI-IW for April, 2013 rose by 2 point and pegged at 226 (two hundred and twenty six). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by 0.89 per cent between March and April  compared with 1.99 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

                The largest upward contribution to the change in current index came from Food group which increased by 2.08 per cent, contributing 2.07 percentage points to the total change. This was followed by Fuel & Light group with 0.91 percent increase contributing 0.12 percentage points to the change.  At item level, largest upward pressure came from Rice, Wheat & Wheat Atta, Arhar Dal, Milk (Cow), Ginger, Root & Green Non-leafy vegetables, Tea Leaf, Tea (Readymade), Snack Saltish, Cigaratte, Electricity Charges, Medicine (Allopathic) etc. However, this was  compensated by Mustard Oil and Petrol putting downward pressure on the index.

                The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 10.24 per cent for April, 2013 as compared to 11.44 per cent for the previous month and 10.22  per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 12.39 per cent against 13.21 per cent of the previous month and 10.66 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

                At centre level, Mysore recorded the largest increase of 13 points followed by Giridih, Bengaluru  and Puducherry (8 points each) and Darjeeling (7 points). Among others, 6 points rise was registered in 6 centres, 5 points in 2 centres, 4 points in 7 centres, 3 points in 15 centres, 2 points in 17 centres and  and 1 point in 13 centres. On the contrary, a decline of 4 points was reported in  Godavarikhani, 2 points in 4 centres and 1 point in one centre. Rest of the  7 centres’ indices remained stationary.

                The indices of 40 centres are above All-India Index and other 35 centres’ indices are below national average. The index of  Chandigarh, Haldia and Ahmedabad centres remained at par with all-India index.

                The next index of CPI-IW for the month of May, 2013 will be released on Friday, 28 June, 2013. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureau.gov.in.

Source: PIB

Expected DA from July-2013, AICPIN for the month of March-2013.

Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) March 2013.

   According to a press release issued today by the Labour Bureau, Ministry of Labour & Employment the All-India CPI-IW for March, 2013 rose by 1 point and pegged at 224 (two hundred and twentyfour). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by 0.45 per cent between February and March compared with 1.01 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

   The largest upward contribution to the change in current index came from Food group which increased by 0.84 per cent, contributing 0.82 percentage points to the total change. This was followed by Miscellaneous group with 0.53 per cent increase contributing 0.26 percentage points to the change. At item level, largest upward pressure came from Rice, Wheat & Wheat Atta, Fish Fresh, Goat Meat, Vegetable Green & non-Leafy, Apple, Tea (Readymade), Firewood, Medicine (Allopathic), Private Tuition Fee, Bus Fare, Petrol, etc. However, this was compensated by Mustard Oil, Eggs (Hen), Poultry (Chicken), Onion, Potato and Sugar putting downward pressure on the index.

   The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 11.44 per cent for February, 2013 as compared to 12.06 per cent for the previous month and 8.65 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 13.21 per cent against 14.98 per cent of the previous month and 8.16 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

   At centre level, Salem recorded the largest increase of 7 points followed by Sholapur and Quilon (6 points each). Among others, 5 points rise was registered in 4 centres, 4 points in 2 centres, 3 points in 4 centres, 2 points in 12 centres and 1 point in 18 centres. On the contrary, a decline of 2 points was reported in Jharia, Chennai, Siliguri, Mariani-Jorhat, Asansol and Kodarma and 1 point in 10 centres. Rest of the 19 centres’ indices remained stationary.

   The indices of 34 centres are above All-India Index and other 43 centres’ indices are below national average. The index of Ajmer centre remained at par with all-India index. The next index of CPI-IW for the month of April, 2013 will be released on Friday, 31 May, 2013. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureau.gov.in.

PIB

Expected dearness allowance from July 2013.

Let us hope the DA for January 2013 will be announced very shortly..

and move on to Expected dearness allowance from July 2013

   It is really unfortunate that at the time of discussing about the rate of dearness allowance from July 2013, expectation on dearness allowance from January 2013 is not fulfilled even now. Actually the additional amount, that the central government employees may get, on account of hike in dearness allowance from January 2013 apart from their regular pay is not at all a matter for the people those who are dealing with lakhs and crores. But it is indeed a matter for 50 lakh central government employees and pensioners, In order to deal with abnormal price rise; they have no other option than expecting dearness allowance to be increased. It is expected that the central government has reached the saturation point and it has no other go than to announce it as soon as possible. Let us hope it will be announced very shortly.

   At this juncture it is very hard to move on to the topic of dearness allowance from July 2013. But there is a saying.. “Sometimes It is very hard to move on, once you move on, you will realize it was the best decision you ever made” . So Let us move on to the topic of expected dearness allowance from July 2013.

   As we all know that the Average AICPIN for Industrial Workers starting from the month of July 2012 to June 2013 determines the rate of dearness allowance to increased from 1st July 2013.

   Let us see the All India consumer price Index numbers published by Labour Bureau website till date from July 2012.

Month	AICPIN-IW
July 2012	212
August 2012	214
September 2012	215
October 2012	217
November 2012	218
December 2012	219
January 2013	221
February 2013	223
March 2013	to be published
April 2013	to be published
May 2013	to be published
June 2013	to be published

   The AICPIN for the last four months are yet to be published. According to the 8 months average of AICPIN , if the same trend continues up to June 2013, the dearness allowance to be increased from 1st July 2013 will be around 9% to 10%. So it is estimated from the above AICPIN position that expected increase in dearness allowance will be around 9% to 10%

Source: www.gservants.com

Expected DA from July-2013, AICPIN for the month of February-2013. Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) February 2013.

   According to a press release issued today by the Labour Bureau, Ministry of Labour & Employment the All-India CPI-IW for February, 2013 rose by 2 points and pegged at 223 (two hundred and twentythree). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by 0.90 per cent between January and February compared with 0.51 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

   The largest upward contribution to the change in current index came from Food group which increased by 1.28 per cent, contributing 1.40 percentage points to the total change. This was followed by Miscellaneous and Fuel & Light groups with 0.62 and 0.80 per cent increase respectively contributing 0.27 and 0.11 percentage points to the change. At item level, largest upward pressure came from Rice, Wheat & Wheat Atta, Fish Fresh, Goat Meat, Poultry (Chicken), Milk, Onion, Tea (Readymade), Electricity Charges, Rail Fare, Petrol, etc. However, this was compensated by Root Vegetables and Sugar, putting downward pressure on the index.

   The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 12.06 per cent for February, 2013 as compared to 11.62 per cent for the previous month and 7.57 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 14.98 per cent against 14.08 per cent of the previous month and 5.08 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

    At centre level, Belgaum and Munger-Jamalpur centres recorded the largest increase of 7 points each followed by Vijaywada, Tiruchirapally and Jharia (6 points each). Among others, 5 points rise was registered in 5 centres, 4 points in 6 centre, 3 points in 9 centres, 2 points in 14 centres and 1 point in 15 centres. On the contrary, 4 points decline was reported in Coimbatore, followed by Tirpura and Guwahati (3 points each) and 1 point in 7 centres. Rest of the 14 centres’ indices remained stationary.

   The indices of 41 centres are above All-India Index and other 36 centres’ indices are below national average. The index of Haldia centre was at par with all-India index.

   The next index of CPI-IW for the month of March, 2013 will be released on Tuesday, 30 April, 2013. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureau.nic.in.